# Eroteme: AI forecasts for prediction markets > Eroteme publishes AI forecasts on real-world questions that have a live Polymarket market: football and US sports results, elections, prices, releases, weather and more. Every forecast is published before the answer is known and scored when the market settles, and the full record is public. How a forecast is made: four AI models (Claude, GPT, Gemini and Grok) each research the question from current sources and give a probability. Their votes are combined into one forecast: an answer, a confidence, and the reasoning. Since 15 September 2026 the models forecast from the evidence alone and do not see the market price. The market price at the time of publication is stored beside each forecast so the two can be compared. One forecast is counted per market; an update before the market closes does not change the forecast that is scored. Wrong forecasts stay on the record. Each forecast page states the question, the pick, the confidence, the date it was published and the market price at that time. To cite a forecast, link its page. ## Track record - [Eroteme AI track record](https://www.eroteme.ai/ai-accuracy): hit rate with sample sizes, calibration by stated confidence, results by category and month, and a comparison with the market favourite on the same forecasts - [Every forecast](https://www.eroteme.ai/forecast-record): the full list, open and settled, each with its outcome ## Predictions by subject - [All predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions) - [Football predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/football) - [Premier League predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/premier-league) - [Champions League predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/champions-league) - [NFL predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/nfl) - [NBA predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/nba) - [NHL predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/nhl) - [Crypto predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto) - [Culture predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/culture) - [Finance predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/finance) - [World predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/world) - [Politics predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/politics) - [Tech predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/tech) - [Weather predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/weather) - [Science predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/science) - [Business predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/business) ## Recurring series The same question asked on a schedule (daily, weekly or monthly), with every result. - [Bitcoin daily price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto/series/bitcoin-daily-price) - [Elon Musk weekly tweet count predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/culture/series/elon-musk-weekly-tweet-count) - [Ethereum daily price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto/series/ethereum-daily-price) - [Weekly earthquake count predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/science/series/weekly-earthquake-count) - [Seoul daily high temperature predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/weather/series/seoul-daily-high-temperature) - [Bitcoin weekly price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto/series/bitcoin-weekly-price) - [Shanghai daily high temperature predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/weather/series/shanghai-daily-high-temperature) - [Largest company by market cap predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/finance/series/largest-company-by-market-cap) - [S&P 500 daily direction predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/finance/series/sp-500-daily-direction) - [Donald Trump weekly Truth Social post count predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/culture/series/trump-weekly-truth-social-posts) - [Treasury yield monthly range predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/finance/series/treasury-yield-monthly-range) - [Ethereum weekly price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto/series/ethereum-weekly-price) - [US unemployment rate predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/finance/series/us-unemployment-rate) - [WTI crude oil monthly price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/finance/series/wti-crude-oil-monthly-price) - [Netflix top US show weekly predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/culture/series/netflix-top-show-us) - [Top AI model monthly ranking predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/tech/series/top-ai-model-monthly) - [Bitcoin monthly price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto/series/bitcoin-monthly-price) - [XRP daily price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto/series/xrp-daily-price) - [Hong Kong daily high temperature predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/weather/series/hong-kong-daily-high-temperature) - [WTI crude oil daily price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/finance/series/wti-crude-oil-daily-price) - [US measles case count predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/science/series/us-measles-cases) - [Wellington daily high temperature predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/weather/series/wellington-daily-high-temperature) - [Core PCE inflation predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/finance/series/core-pce-inflation) - [US App Store top free app daily predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/culture/series/us-app-store-top-free-app) - [Billboard Hot 100 weekly chart predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/culture/series/billboard-hot-100) - [OpenRouter weekly AI lab market share predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/tech/series/openrouter-weekly-market-share) - [Daily biggest earthquake predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/science/series/daily-biggest-earthquake) - [Netflix top global show weekly predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/culture/series/netflix-top-show-global) - [Billboard 200 weekly album chart predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/culture/series/billboard-200) - [Solana weekly price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto/series/solana-weekly-price) - [SPY daily direction predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/business/series/spy-daily-direction) - [Ethereum monthly price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto/series/ethereum-monthly-price) - [Fed interest rate decision predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/finance/series/fed-decision) - [US App Store top paid app daily predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/culture/series/us-app-store-top-paid-app) - [London daily high temperature predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/weather/series/london-daily-high-temperature) - [Solana monthly price predictions](https://www.eroteme.ai/predictions/crypto/series/solana-monthly-price) ## About - [About Eroteme](https://www.eroteme.ai/about): who runs it and how it works - [FAQ](https://www.eroteme.ai/faq) - [Blog](https://www.eroteme.ai/blog) - [Full blog text in one file](https://www.eroteme.ai/llms-full.txt) Contact: hello@eroteme.ai