AI forecast record
Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,412 forecasts and counting.
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 54% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was incorrect.
finance · 2026-05-04
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 54% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-05-04
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 63% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-04
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 41% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-04
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-05-04
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-05-04
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 95% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-05-04
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-05-03
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 63% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-05-03
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Eroteme AI forecast Pittsburgh Pirates at 43% confidence. Resolved Pittsburgh Pirates — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-03
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals
Eroteme AI forecast Milwaukee Brewers at 66% confidence. Resolved Washington Nationals — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-05-03
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 61% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-05-03
- Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 51% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-05-03
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-05-03
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 57% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
science · 2026-05-03
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 71% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-05-03
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 57% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-03
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 3?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 81% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-05-03
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 41% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-05-03
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 79% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-05-02
- Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 63% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-05-02
- Magic vs. Pistons
Eroteme AI forecast Pistons at 47% confidence. Resolved Pistons — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-02
- Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Eliakim Coulibaly
Eroteme AI forecast Gauthier Onclin at 80% confidence. Resolved Gauthier Onclin — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-02
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 72% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-02
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 37% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-05-02
- Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 42% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
science · 2026-05-02
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-05-02
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-05-02
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-05-02
- UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)
Eroteme AI forecast Wes Schultz at 57% confidence. Resolved Wes Schultz — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-02
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 72% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-02
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 2?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 73% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-05-02
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?
Eroteme AI forecast Up at 64% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-05-02
- Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-05-01
- LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Eroteme AI forecast Gen.G at 79% confidence. Resolved Gen.G — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-01
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)
Eroteme AI forecast FaZe at 50% confidence. Resolved FaZe — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-01
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 63% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-05-01
- Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 74% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-05-01
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 35% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-05-01
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 85% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-05-01
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 63% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-05-01
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?
Eroteme AI forecast Up at 79% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-05-01
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 51% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-05-01
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Eroteme AI forecast Top Esports at 54% confidence. Resolved Anyone's Legend — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-05-01
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Eroteme AI forecast HANJIN BRION at 47% confidence. Resolved HANJIN BRION — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-05-01
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 55% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-05-01
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?
Eroteme AI forecast Up at 74% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-05-01
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 41% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-30
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 54% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-30
- San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Eroteme AI forecast San Francisco Giants at 85% confidence. Resolved Philadelphia Phillies — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-30
- Pistons vs. Magic
Eroteme AI forecast Pistons at 63% confidence. Resolved Pistons — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-30
- Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 57% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-04-30
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 88% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-04-30
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 49% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was incorrect.
business · 2026-04-30
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast Up at 45% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was incorrect.
finance · 2026-04-30
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Eroteme AI forecast BNK FEARX at 44% confidence. Resolved Dplus KIA — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-30
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
Eroteme AI forecast FUT Esports at 51% confidence. Resolved Astralis — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-30
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 49% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-30
- Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 38% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-30
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 1?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 81% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-29