Eroteme AI

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Thursday 5 November 2026 · Updated 13:02

Each story is a forecast researched and written by AI: the call, the evidence behind it, and when the answer is due.

The questionWill GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026?

Eroteme AI: 94% NoEnds tomorrow4 of 4 models agreeAI disagrees with market

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TechToday 13:02

GPT-6 Astra, released September 3, is still OpenAI's only Astra model

The questionWill GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026?

Eroteme AI: 94% NoEnds tomorrow4 of 4 models agreeAI disagrees with market

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OpenAI's own pages, as of November 4, list GPT-6 Astra under its latest advancements, alongside GPT-6.1 Sol. The product listing that day showed Introducing Images 2.6, and an earlier entry dated October 26 reads Introducing GPT-6.1 Terra. None of those is an Astra model at version 6.1 or higher, which is what a November 6 release would need.

FinanceToday 09:02

RBI's repo rate sits at 5.50% after October hike, with December 4 decision due

The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously on October 7, 2026 to raise the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 per cent, according to the RBI's own resolution.

64% Yes4 of 4 models agreeEnds 3 Dec

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Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

64% YesEnds 3 Dec

WorldToday 07:03

No 59.22%: US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?

Slight lean · No 59.22%. This is a modest probability edge, not a high-certainty outcome.

59% No3 of 4 models agree · slight leanEnds 30 Nov

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US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?

59% NoEnds 30 Nov

CryptoYesterday

Ether's squeeze to $2,421 on Nov. 4 still leaves $2,600 out of reach

Ether ran up to $2,421 on Nov. 4, a 5.4% jump driven by a broad relief rally after the U.S. midterms, according to reports. It outpaced Bitcoin, which gained 3.6% to just over $80,300.

89% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 9 Nov

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Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8?

89% NoEnds 9 Nov

Latest results

5 of 8 correct

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Politics & world

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Hormuz crossings of 2 on October 25 sit far below the 25-to-29 band

IMF PortWatch recorded 2 transits through the Strait of Hormuz on October 25, against a pre-crisis baseline of 85 a day, according to a report published on November 3.

94% No3 of 3 models agree · 1 no voteEnds 30 Nov

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Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30?

94% NoEnds 30 Nov

Bank of Israel holds at 3.25% and next meets on November 23

The Bank of Israel's own website shows the Monetary Committee decided on October 21, 2026 to leave the rate unchanged at 3.25%. The next decision is scheduled for Monday, November 23.

78% Yes4 of 4 models agreeEnds 23 Nov

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Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting?

78% YesEnds 23 Nov

Markets & business

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Core PCE ran at 3.1% in September, leaving October's 2.9% reading a long way off

The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on October 29 that core PCE rose 3.1% over the 12 months through September, up from 3.0% in August. Core prices rose 0.3% in the month.

90% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 25 Nov

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Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in October?

90% NoEnds 25 Nov

Gemini 4 Carbon led Arena's text board by 11 points in the October 28 data

Arena's published leaderboard data, dated October 28 and read on November 2, put Google's Gemini 4 Carbon (High) first on the Text Arena Overall board with style control off. It scored 1540.

69% Yes3 of 3 models agree · 1 no voteEnds 30 Nov

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Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

69% YesEnds 30 Nov

WTI's $104.12 close leaves $120 about $16 away as Iran risk builds

US West Texas Intermediate advanced 15.2% in October to reach $104.12 a barrel, according to reports. That leaves the contract roughly $16 short of $120, and it would need to reach that level in a single one-minute…

72% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 30 Nov

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?

72% NoEnds 30 Nov

Tech & science

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DeepSeek has shipped V4.1-Flash twice, but a V4.1-Pro has not yet appeared

DeepSeek's own change log shows the V4.1 family arriving from the bottom up. V4.1-Flash was released on September 10, 2026, and an updated build, V4.1-Flash-1017, followed on October 17.

77% No3 of 3 models agree · 1 no voteEnds 30 Nov

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Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?

77% NoEnds 30 Nov

Anthropic's Claude Opus 5.5 sits third overall, but Anthropic is second among labs

The latest reading of the deciding board puts Anthropic second among labs by its best entry. Arena's published leaderboard data, dated 28 October and read on 1 November, has Claude Opus 5.5 (High) third overall on style…

71% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 30 Nov

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Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?

71% NoEnds 30 Nov

Gemini 4 Carbon is announced, with access limited to select cyber defenders

Google's own announcement, dated 28 October 2026, says it will make Carbon available to a subset of cyber defenders and phase access to additional trusted partners.

95% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 11 Nov

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Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?

95% NoEnds 11 Nov

Culture

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Bea Millan-Windorski flies to Puerto Rico chasing a fifth Philippine Miss Universe crown

Bea Millan-Windorski, the 24-year-old Miss Universe Philippines 2026, got a send-off at Lime Resort Manila, and reports say she aims to bring home the country's fifth Miss Universe crown on November 24.

95% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 24 Nov

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Will the Philippines win Miss Universe 2026?

95% NoEnds 24 Nov

Hunger Games prequel's independent tracking range of $80M to $100M stops short of $105M

The most recent independent range in the record, dated Oct. 30, puts the opening weekend for "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" at $80M to $100M. That tracking update sits entirely below the $105M line.

82% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 22 Nov

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Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?

82% NoEnds 22 Nov

Tucker Wetmore looks unlikely to take CMA New Artist of the Year

Tucker Wetmore is nominated for New Artist of the Year at the 60th Annual CMA Awards, set for Wednesday, Nov. 18 at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, but the forecast leans against him winning.

75% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 18 Nov

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Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

75% NoEnds 18 Nov

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SportsYesterday

Arsenal have won four straight league games, including 1-0 at Liverpool, before Hull visit

Arsenal arrive at the Emirates for the 3pm kick-off on Saturday 7 November having won 1-0 at Anfield, where Kai Havertz scored the only goal.

83% Yes4 of 4 models agreeEnds 7 Nov

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Will Arsenal FC win on 7 Nov?

83% YesEnds 7 Nov

Crypto3 Nov

Bitcoin at $77,902 on Binance sits $4,100 short of the $82,000 mark

Bitcoin last traded at 77,902.52 USDT on Binance at 22:00 UTC on Nov. 3, about $4,100 below the $82,000 line. The question is the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute close at noon ET on Saturday, Nov.

95% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 7 Nov

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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 7?

95% NoEnds 7 Nov

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