Eroteme AI

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Sunday 8 November 2026 · Updated 13:02

Each story is a forecast researched and written by AI: the call, the evidence behind it, and when the answer is due.

The questionWill there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Eroteme AI: 85% YesEnds today4 of 4 models agree

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ScienceToday 13:02

Five magnitude 5.5+ quakes logged by USGS with 16 hours left in the window

The questionWill there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Eroteme AI: 85% YesEnds today4 of 4 models agree

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The USGS catalogue, checked at 13:01 UTC on 8 November, listed five earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher in the window from 2 November 12:00 AM ET to 8 November 11:59 PM ET.

FinanceToday 09:03

Eurostat's diesel stock data stops at September, with November's figure months away

Eurostat's oil stocks dataset, last updated on 6 November 2026, covers data only through September 2026. The November figure that decides this question is not expected until around late February or March 2027, so the…

65% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 30 Nov

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Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026?

65% NoEnds 30 Nov

WorldToday 07:01

Lufthansa curbs Tel Aviv overnight stays to November 30 while flights keep operating

Lufthansa Group has told its crews they cannot stay overnight in Israel until November 30, citing the threat of a potential war with Iran, according to a report by N12 News.

89% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 30 Nov

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Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

89% NoEnds 30 Nov

CryptoYesterday

Dani led the GMGN qualifier at +$85,184, but seven finalists share one match

Dani (@DaniWorldwide) came out of the GMGN qualifier as the number one trader overall, at +$85,184 in a GMGN post dated Oct. 27. A GMGN post dated Nov.

80% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 17 Nov

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Will Dani win the GMGN GGC Season 1 Grand Final?

80% NoEnds 17 Nov

Latest results

7 of 8 correct

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Politics & world

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Eisenkot holds 67 endorsements, but only with Arab parties he has ruled out

Gadi Eisenkot has recommendations from 67 lawmakers in the 120-seat Knesset, according to a report of the post-election consultations with President Isaac Herzog. That is well above the 61 needed.

65% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 29 Nov

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Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?

65% NoEnds 29 Nov

Hormuz crossings of 2 on October 25 sit far below the 25-to-29 band

IMF PortWatch recorded 2 transits through the Strait of Hormuz on October 25, against a pre-crisis baseline of 85 a day, according to a report published on November 3.

94% No3 of 3 models agree · 1 no voteEnds 30 Nov

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Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30?

94% NoEnds 30 Nov

Bank of Israel holds at 3.25% and next meets on November 23

The Bank of Israel's own website shows the Monetary Committee decided on October 21, 2026 to leave the rate unchanged at 3.25%. The next decision is scheduled for Monday, November 23.

78% Yes4 of 4 models agreeEnds 23 Nov

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Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting?

78% YesEnds 23 Nov

Markets & business

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Pentagon says Hegseth is "100% committed" to staying through Trump's term

Pentagon chief spokesperson Sean Parnell said in a statement that Pete Hegseth "is 100% committed to leading the department until the end of President Trump's term in office." That is PR, and it should be read as such.

75% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 30 Nov

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

75% NoEnds 30 Nov

Brazil's industry fell 2.2% in Q3, yet economists still see a mild GDP dip

Brazilian industry shrank 2.2% in the third quarter from the second, according to IBGE's monthly industrial survey as reported on November 5.

77% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 1 Dec

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Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?

77% NoEnds 1 Dec

RBI's repo rate sits at 5.50% after October hike, with December 4 decision due

The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously on October 7, 2026 to raise the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50 per cent, according to the RBI's own resolution.

64% Yes4 of 4 models agreeEnds 3 Dec

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Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

64% YesEnds 3 Dec

Tech & science

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Gemini 3.8 Flash, from September 2, is still Google's newest core Flash model

Google's own release notes describe gemini-3.8-flash as "our most intelligent Flash model", and it is generally available.

86% No3 of 3 models agree · 1 no voteEnds 30 Nov

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Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?

86% NoEnds 30 Nov

Claude Opus 5.5, launched September 22, is still Anthropic's newest Opus model

Anthropic's official records show Claude Opus 5.5 launched on September 22, 2026, priced at $4 / $20 per million input and output tokens.

65% Yes3 of 4 models agreeEnds 30 Nov

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Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?

65% YesEnds 30 Nov

DeepSeek has shipped V4.1-Flash twice, but a V4.1-Pro has not yet appeared

DeepSeek's own change log shows the V4.1 family arriving from the bottom up. V4.1-Flash was released on September 10, 2026, and an updated build, V4.1-Flash-1017, followed on October 17.

77% No3 of 3 models agree · 1 no voteEnds 30 Nov

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Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?

77% NoEnds 30 Nov

Culture

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Lil Baby's Fresh reached No. 1 on U.S. Apple Music on Nov. 6, but the 120k line is untested

Slight lean · No 58.57%. This is a modest probability edge, not a high-certainty outcome.

58% No3 of 3 models agree · 1 no vote · slight leanEnds 12 Nov

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Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 120k?

58% NoEnds 12 Nov

Bea Millan-Windorski flies to Puerto Rico chasing a fifth Philippine Miss Universe crown

Bea Millan-Windorski, the 24-year-old Miss Universe Philippines 2026, got a send-off at Lime Resort Manila, and reports say she aims to bring home the country's fifth Miss Universe crown on November 24.

95% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 24 Nov

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Will the Philippines win Miss Universe 2026?

95% NoEnds 24 Nov

Hunger Games prequel's independent tracking range of $80M to $100M stops short of $105M

The most recent independent range in the record, dated Oct. 30, puts the opening weekend for "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" at $80M to $100M. That tracking update sits entirely below the $105M line.

82% No4 of 4 models agreeEnds 22 Nov

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Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m?

82% NoEnds 22 Nov

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