Eroteme AI

Latest forecasts

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · Updated 07:03

Each story is a forecast researched and written by AI: the call, the evidence behind it, and when the answer is due.

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?4 of 4 models agree

Eroteme AI: No 86%Ends 3 NovRead the forecast →

PoliticsToday 07:03

Salazar looks better placed than Rodriguez to hold Florida's 27th District

Of 28 candidates added to the DCCC's Red to Blue list in the final two months of the campaign between 2018 and 2024, just three Democrats won, and all three were in Democratic-held open seats. That is the record reports point to for Eliott Rodriguez, who was added late in the 2026 cycle.

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?4 of 4 models agree

Eroteme AI: No 86%Ends 3 NovRead the forecast →

CryptoYesterday

Ethereum holds above $2,200 with a cushion, but support is thinning

Ethereum last traded at 2,345.85 USD on Coinbase, read at 22:01 UTC on October 27. That is not the Binance ETH/USDT print the contract uses, but it puts the coin roughly $146 above the $2,200 line.

Yes 90%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 2 Nov

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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?

Yes 90%Ends 2 Nov

CultureYesterday

Muse from Meta looks unlikely to be back at No. 1 on the US App Store

The US iPhone Top Apps chart on apps.the official source, read at 19:04 UTC on October 27, showed Muse from Meta at No. 3, with TikTok Pro - Events at No. 1. That is the current reading of the deciding measure.

No 78%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 30 Oct

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Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?

No 78%Ends 30 Oct

SportsYesterday

AC Milan look the stronger side against Bologna at San Siro

Slight lean · Yes 59.39%. This is a modest probability edge, not a high-certainty outcome.

Yes 59%4 of 4 models agree · slight leanEnds today

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Will AC Milan win on 28 Oct?

Yes 59%Ends today

Latest results

6 of 8 right

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Politics & world

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Bresnahan trails Cognetti in PA-08, leaving Republicans the underdog

Democrat Paige Cognetti leads Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan 51% to 46% among likely voters in Pennsylvania's 8th District, according to a Siena poll of 402 voters conducted Oct. 16 to 22, 2026.

No 67%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 3 Nov

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Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?

No 67%Ends 3 Nov

Democrats face a steep climb to win North Carolina's 13th District

Republican Brad Knott won North Carolina's 13th District by more than 70,000 votes in 2024, reports indicate. Two years earlier, Democrat Wiley Nickel took the seat by about 9,000 votes.

No 95%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 3 Nov

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Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?

No 95%Ends 3 Nov

Perriello trails McGuire in Virginia's 5th, leaving Democrats an uphill climb

A poll reported on October 1, 2026 puts Democrat Tom Perriello modestly behind Republican Rep. John McGuire in Virginia's 5th District. The same report describes the district as deeply red.

No 80%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 3 Nov

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Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

No 80%Ends 3 Nov

Markets & business

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Anthropic's IPO is unlikely to land on November 19 itself

Anthropic filed its public S-1 on October 26, with a planned Nasdaq listing under the symbol ANT. The headline is real, but a filing is not a first day of trading.

No 78%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 19 Nov

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Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?

No 78%Ends 19 Nov

Eli Lilly looks more likely to miss the $7.49 line than clear it

Slight lean · No 55.78%. This is a modest probability edge, not a high-certainty outcome.

No 55%Models split · slight leanEnds tomorrow

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Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?

No 55%Ends tomorrowUpdated yesterday

Elon Musk's fortune sits above $900B, so the $800B to $900B band looks unlikely

The latest tracker reading puts Elon Musk's net worth at $919B, last updated October 23, 2026. A separate list showed $922.9B, dated October 24.

No 70%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 31 Oct

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Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?

No 70%Ends 31 Oct

Tech & science

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Google's Gemini Carbon looks unlikely to reach the public by mid-November

The most concrete fact is that Carbon, per a Business Insider report published on 9 October, is a version of Gemini 4 that employees have been trying internally on Google's coding platform.

No 82%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 15 Nov

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Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?

No 82%Ends 15 Nov

Quake count for 26 October to 1 November likely to top six

The USGS catalogue, checked on 26 October 2026 at 13:01 UTC, listed one magnitude 5.5 or higher earthquake in the window so far: a 5.5 event about 283 km east of Levuka, Fiji, at 10:13 UTC on 26 October.

No 84%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 1 Nov

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Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

No 84%Ends 1 Nov

Gemini 4 Argon (High) holds first place on the Arena text board

Gemini 4 Argon (High) sits at number one on the arena.ai Text Arena Overall leaderboard with style control off. That reading came from Arena's published leaderboard data, a snapshot dated 22 October 2026 and read…

Yes 78%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 2 Nov

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Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?

Yes 78%Ends 2 Nov

Culture

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Tucker Wetmore looks unlikely to take CMA New Artist of the Year

Tucker Wetmore is nominated for New Artist of the Year at the 60th Annual CMA Awards, set for Wednesday, Nov. 18 at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, but the forecast leans against him winning.

No 75%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 18 Nov

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Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

No 75%Ends 18 Nov

Trump looks unlikely to reach 200 Truth Social posts in this window

The deciding source, the XTracker post counter, does not yet publish the figure this question turns on. It was read on October 22, 2026, and showed only a home page shell with no Trump count.

No 65%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 30 Oct

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Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

No 65%Ends 30 Oct

Crypto

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Bitcoin sits just above $80,000 with a dip to $78,000 looking more likely than not

Bitcoin was last trading at $79,897.59 on Coinbase at 22:01 UTC on October 26, a little under $2,000 above the $78,000 line. Binance's daily candle for the day showed a low of $79,368.67 and a high of $80,844.70.

Yes 62%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 2 Nov

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Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?

Yes 62%Ends 2 Nov

Bitcoin looks short of the $84,000 line for its Nov. 1 noon close

Bitcoin was trading around $80,447 on Binance's own price page on October 25, with a 24-hour range of $79,145 to $80,928.

No 90%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 1 Nov

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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 1?

No 90%Ends 1 Nov

Bitcoin still has roughly $6K to climb to reach $87,500 this month

Bitcoin last traded at 81,596.85 USD on Coinbase at 21:01 UTC on October 16, and Binance's own price page showed $81,902.89 earlier that day.

No 80%4 of 4 models agreeEnds 1 Nov

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Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?

No 80%Ends 1 Nov

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