Finance predictions
AI forecasts for the economy and markets: interest rates, inflation, jobs figures, yields, oil and stock indices. Four AI models research each question and vote, and every forecast is tracked to its result.
Hit rate: 72% (96 of 133 settled forecasts correct)
Series
- Largest company by market cap predictions(13)
- S&P 500 daily direction predictions(12)
- Treasury yield monthly range predictions(10)
- US unemployment rate predictions(9)
- WTI crude oil monthly price predictions(8)
- Core PCE inflation predictions(6)
- WTI crude oil daily price predictions(6)
- Fed interest rate decision predictions(4)
Open forecasts
- EU Emergency Diesel Stocks End of October 2026 prediction
AI: at least 32M tonnes, 65%
2026-11-01
- October Inflation US Annual prediction
AI: annual inflation is not 3.7%, 86%
2026-11-11
- Core CPI YoY - October 2026 prediction
AI: Core CPI YoY is not 2.6%, 75%
2026-11-11
- PPI YoY October 2026 prediction
AI: PPI YoY is not 6.2%, 93%
2026-11-14
- Core PCE YoY October 2026 prediction
AI: Core PCE YoY is not 2.9%, 90%
2026-11-25
- Core PCE MoM October 2026 prediction
AI: Core PCE MoM is not 0.3%, 70%
2026-11-25
- EU Emergency Diesel Stocks End of November 2026 prediction
AI: under 37M tonnes, 65%
2026-12-01
- 10-Year Treasury Yield High in November prediction
AI: yield does not hit 5.21%, 95%
2026-12-01
- 2-Year Treasury Yield High in November prediction
AI: yield does not hit 4.92%, 74%
2026-12-01
- WTI Crude Oil High in November 2026 prediction
AI: does not hit $120 high, 72%
2026-12-01
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ) prediction
AI: -0.3% or higher, 77%
2026-12-02
- Reserve Bank of India Decision in December prediction
AI: increase by 25 bps, 64%
2026-12-04
- November Unemployment Rate prediction
AI: rate is not 4.1%, 64%
2026-12-04
- Fed Decision in December prediction
AI: interest rates change, 76%
2026-12-09
- Fed Rate Cut prediction
AI: cut by December 2026 meeting, 60%
2027-01-29
Recent results
- Price of Dozen Eggs in October prediction
Correct · said not between $2.20 and $2.30, 83%
2026-11-11
- Core CPI MoM October 2026 prediction
Correct · said Core CPI MoM is not 0.2%, 74%
2026-11-11
- October Monthly US Inflation prediction
Incorrect · said monthly inflation not 0.4%, 86%
2026-11-11
- October Unemployment Rate prediction
Incorrect · said rate is not 4.1%, 79%
2026-11-06
- US Crude Oil Reserves by October 30 prediction
Incorrect · said falls to 280M, 67%
2026-11-11
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November prediction
Incorrect · said does not increase rates by 25 bps, 67%
2026-11-04
- Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31 prediction
Incorrect · said not between $800B and $900B, 70%
2026-11-01
- US Imports Russian Diesel by October 31 prediction
Correct · said no Russian diesel imports, 60%
2026-11-01
- WTI Crude Oil Price October 2026 prediction
Correct · said does not hit low of $85, 95%
2026-11-01
- 5-Year Treasury Yield Low in October prediction
Incorrect · said no dip below 4.75%, 72%
2026-11-01
- 10-Year Treasury Yield High in October prediction
Correct · said yield does not hit 5.50%, 85%
2026-11-01
- 5-Year Treasury Yield High in October prediction
Correct · said yield does not hit 5.25%, 76%
2026-11-01
- Central Bank of Colombia Decision in October prediction
Correct · said no change to the rate, 66%
2026-10-30
- Eurozone GDP Growth in Q3 2026 prediction
Correct · said not between 0.8% and 1.1%, 67%
2026-10-30
- ECB Interest Rates October 2026 prediction
Correct · said no 25 bps increase, 65%
2026-10-30
- Core PCE YoY September 2026 prediction
Correct · said Core PCE YoY is not 3.0%, 67%
2026-10-29
- Core PCE MoM September 2026 prediction
Incorrect · said Core PCE MoM is not 0.3%, 75%
2026-10-29
- US GDP Growth in Q3 2026 prediction
Incorrect · said not greater than 3.0%, 87%
2026-10-30
- Fed Decision in October prediction
Correct · said no change in rates, 72%
2026-10-29
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand October Decision prediction
Incorrect · said increases interest rates by 25 bps, 83%
2026-10-28
- 10-Year Treasury Yield Low in October prediction
Correct · said dips below 5.00%, 64%
2026-11-01
- PPI YoY September 2026 prediction
Incorrect · said under 5.9%, 77%
2026-10-16
- Core CPI MoM September 2026 prediction
Correct · said not 0.2%, 65%
2026-10-15
- September US Annual Inflation prediction
Correct · said annual inflation is not 3.5%, 82%
2026-10-15
- September US Monthly Inflation prediction
Correct · said monthly inflation not 0.4%, 82%
2026-10-15
- Reserve Bank of India Decision in October prediction
Incorrect · said no change to the policy repo rate, 63%
2026-10-07
- September Unemployment Rate prediction
Correct · said rate is not 4.1%, 64%
2026-10-02
- WTI Crude Oil Price High in September 2026 prediction
Correct · said WTI does not hit $100, 65%
2026-10-01
- US Crude Oil Reserves by September 25 prediction
Correct · said does not fall to 280M, 95%
2026-10-08
- 30-Year Treasury Yield Low in September prediction
Correct · said stays at or above 5.21%, 66%
2026-09-30
- Lowest 10-Year Treasury Yield in September prediction
Correct · said no dip below 4.64%, 68%
2026-09-30
- Central Bank of Colombia Decision in September prediction
Incorrect · said no change to policy rate, 62%
2026-10-01
- Core PCE YoY August 2026 prediction
Correct · said Core PCE YoY is not 3.4%, 92%
2026-09-30
- Core PCE MoM - August 2026 prediction
Incorrect · said Core PCE MoM is not 0.2%, 76%
2026-09-30
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September prediction
Correct · said increases rates by 25 bps, 82%
2026-09-29
- 10-Year Treasury Yield High in September prediction
Incorrect · said yield does not hit 5.10%, 64%
2026-09-30
- Bank of Japan Decision in September prediction
Correct · said a 25 bps increase, 81%
2026-09-18
- Bank of Brazil Decision in September prediction
Correct · said Selic cut by 25 bps, 75%
2026-09-15
- Fed Decision in September prediction
Incorrect · said no change in Fed interest rates, 73%
2026-09-16
- 30-Year Treasury Yield High in September prediction
Correct · said yield hits 5.33%, 65%
2026-09-30
- WTI Crude Oil Close on November 2 prediction
Incorrect · said closes above $100, 88%
2026-11-02
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13 prediction
Incorrect · said Down, 65%
2026-05-13
- WTI Crude Oil Close on May 11 prediction
Correct · said not above $99, 65%
2026-05-11
- WTI Crude Oil Up or Down on May 8 prediction
Correct · said Down, 65%
2026-05-08
- WTI Crude Oil Up or Down on May 4 prediction
Incorrect · said Down, 54%
2026-05-04
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4 prediction
Correct · said Down, 54%
2026-05-04
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1 prediction
Correct · said Up, 79%
2026-05-01
- WTI Crude Oil Up or Down on May 1 prediction
Correct · said Down, 51%
2026-05-01
- WTI Crude Oil Up or Down on April 30 prediction
Incorrect · said Up, 45%
2026-04-30
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28 prediction
Correct · said Down, 43%
2026-04-28