AI forecast record
Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,650 forecasts and counting.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 64% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
sports · 2026-10-07
- Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Japan this month?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
science · 2026-10-07
- Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 67% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
finance · 2026-10-07
- Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 92% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
politics · 2026-10-07
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 9?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 92% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
crypto · 2026-10-06
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
sports · 2026-10-06
- Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
science · 2026-10-06
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
finance · 2026-10-06
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 67% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
world · 2026-10-06
- Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 94% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
crypto · 2026-10-05
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 71% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
culture · 2026-10-05
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 84% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-10-05
- Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 66% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
science · 2026-10-05
- Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 67% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
finance · 2026-10-05
- Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
politics · 2026-10-05
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 10?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 93% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
crypto · 2026-10-04
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 80% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
culture · 2026-10-04
- Will England win on 2026-10-06?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 80% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-10-04
- Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
science · 2026-10-04
- Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
finance · 2026-10-04
- Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 64% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-10-04
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 86% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-10-03
- Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 62% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
culture · 2026-10-03
- Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 92% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
tech · 2026-10-03
- Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
finance · 2026-10-03
- Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 89% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
world · 2026-10-03
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 83% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
culture · 2026-10-02
- Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 85% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-10-02
- Will there be at least 4300 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
science · 2026-10-02
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 69% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
business · 2026-10-02
- Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 91% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
world · 2026-10-02
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 63% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
tech · 2026-10-02
- Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 86% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
world · 2026-10-01
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
tech · 2026-10-01
- Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-10-01
- Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 5-October 11?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 77% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
world · 2026-10-01
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 86% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
culture · 2026-10-01
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 60% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-10-01
- Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 58% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-10-01
- Will the biggest earthquake on October 1, 2026 be under 5.3?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
science · 2026-10-01
- Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 91% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
business · 2026-10-01
- Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 69% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
world · 2026-10-01
- Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 85% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-09-30
- Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs
Eroteme AI forecast Jiri Lehecka at 85% confidence. Resolved Jiri Lehecka — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-30
- Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 69% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
science · 2026-09-30
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 66% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
finance · 2026-09-30
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 77% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
politics · 2026-09-30
- Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 91% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-09-29
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 82% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-29
- Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Chidekh vs David Goffin
Eroteme AI forecast Clement Chidekh at 77% confidence. Resolved Clement Chidekh — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-29
- Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
science · 2026-09-29
- Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
finance · 2026-09-29
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 61% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
world · 2026-09-29
- Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
sports · 2026-09-28
- Will "Patient Zero" hit 35m first week streams?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 95% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-28
- Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 63% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-28
- Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 73% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
science · 2026-09-28
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-09-28
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 78% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
world · 2026-09-28
- Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 56% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
other · 2026-09-27