Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner prediction

Ljubljana votes for its mayor on Sunday, 15 November 2026, according to the State Election Commission. Early voting runs from Tuesday, 10 November to Thursday, 12 November. The forecast leans toward Zoran Janković because of his record, not because of anything in the 2026 campaign. That record is strong. He won the first round outright in 2006 with 62.99%, in 2010 with 64.79% and in 2018 with 60.45%. Each time he cleared a majority without needing a runoff. The caution is just as plain. The evidence supplied does not include an official candidate list confirming that Janković is on the 2026 ballot. It has no 2026 polling and no analysis of his opponents. His share fell from 64.79% in 2010 to 60.45% in 2018, and turnout in 2018 was only about 45%. Those older figures show past strength. They do not show current support. The route to an upset is open. The commission's materials describe a procedure for a second round if no candidate wins a majority. A united opposition, a runoff or a decision by Janković not to run could each change the result. The lack of verification adds uncertainty, but it is not evidence that he will lose. The thing to watch is the official candidate list published by the municipal election commission. It will show whether Janković is running and who he faces.