Politics predictions
AI forecasts for politics: elections, leaders, legislation and government decisions. Four AI models research each question and vote, and every forecast is tracked to its result.
Hit rate: 69% (68 of 99 settled forecasts correct)
Open forecasts
- Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt prediction
AI: Sven Schulze is next, 68%
2026-09-07
- Lima Mayoral Election Winner prediction
AI: Rafael López Aliaga does not win, 65%
2026-10-05
- Swiss National Bank December Decision prediction
AI: no increase by 25 bps, 93%
2026-12-10
Recent results
- FL-27 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Democratic Party does not win the seat, 86%
2026-11-04
- FL-09 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Democratic Party wins the seat, 68%
2026-11-04
- WA-05 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Democratic Party does not win the seat, 65%
2026-11-04
- NJ-02 House Election Winner prediction
Incorrect · said Democratic Party does not win the seat, 71%
2026-11-04
- NC-09 House Election Winner prediction
Incorrect · said Democratic Party does not win the seat, 75%
2026-11-04
- AZ-01 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Republican Party does not win the seat, 61%
2026-11-04
- NC-13 House Election Winner prediction
Incorrect · said Democratic Party does not win the seat, 95%
2026-11-04
- VA-05 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Democratic Party does not win, 80%
2026-11-04
- AR-02 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Democratic Party does not win the seat, 87%
2026-11-04
- MT-01 House Election Winner prediction
Incorrect · said Republican Party wins the seat, 65%
2026-11-04
- TX-35 House Election Winner prediction
Incorrect · said Republican Party wins the seat, 65%
2026-11-04
- Maine Senate Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Republicans do not win the Maine Senate race, 65%
2026-11-04
- MO-02 House Election Winner prediction
Incorrect · said Democratic Party does not win the seat, 75%
2026-11-04
- MD-01 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Democratic Party does not win the seat, 83%
2026-11-04
- AL-02 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Republican Party does not win the seat, 62%
2026-11-04
- GA-12 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Republican Party wins the seat, 92%
2026-11-04
- PA-08 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Republican Party does not win the seat, 67%
2026-11-04
- OH-01 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Democratic Party wins the seat, 64%
2026-11-04
- South Carolina Senate Election Winner prediction
Incorrect · said Republicans win the race, 70%
2026-11-04
- KY-06 House Election Winner prediction
Incorrect · said Democratic Party does not win the seat, 64%
2026-11-04
- NC-11 House Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Republican Party does not win the seat, 78%
2026-11-04
- Bank of Japan Decision in October prediction
Correct · said no change in interest rates, 77%
2026-10-30
- Brazil Election Second Round Margin prediction
Correct · said Flávio Bolsonaro wins by not less than 4%, 68%
2026-10-26
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round Abroad prediction
Correct · said Lula wins the most votes abroad, 69%
2026-10-26
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round Pará prediction
Correct · said Flavio Bolsonaro does not win most votes in Pará, 73%
2026-10-26
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round Amapá prediction
Incorrect · said Flavio Bolsonaro wins Amapá, 65%
2026-10-26
- Brazil Presidential Election prediction
Correct · said Flávio Bolsonaro does not win, 74%
2026-10-26
- Bahia Governor Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Jerônimo Rodrigues wins, 64%
2026-10-05
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Amazonas prediction
Correct · said Flavio Bolsonaro does not win most votes, 82%
2026-10-05
- Brazil Election 1st Place in Minas Gerais prediction
Incorrect · said Lula wins the most votes, 63%
2026-10-05
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Goiás prediction
Correct · said Flavio Bolsonaro wins most votes, 67%
2026-10-05
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place prediction
Correct · said Renan Santos does not finish 3rd, 65%
2026-10-05
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Margin prediction
Correct · said Lula does not win by less than 5%, 66%
2026-10-05
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place prediction
Incorrect · said Lula does not finish 2nd, 79%
2026-10-05
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner prediction
Incorrect · said Lula wins the most first-round votes, 74%
2026-10-05
- Icelandic EU Membership Negotiations Referendum prediction
Correct · said referendum does not pass, 61%
2027-01-01
- Berlin State Election Winner prediction
Correct · said Linke wins the most seats, 54%
2026-09-20
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Election Winner prediction
Correct · said AfD wins the most seats, 68%
2026-09-20
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place prediction
Correct · said Green Party (MP) is not 6th, 76%
2026-09-13
- Sweden Parliamentary Election SD Vote Share prediction
Correct · said SD wins under 20%, 57%
2026-09-13