AI forecast record

Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,412 forecasts and counting.

• National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

  Eroteme AI forecast Thiago Agustin Tirante at 75% confidence. Resolved Thiago Agustin Tirante — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-08-04

• Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 57% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  finance · 2026-08-04

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 66% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-08-04

• Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 85% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-08-03

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  finance · 2026-08-03

• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 76% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  finance · 2026-08-02

• Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?

  Eroteme AI forecast Up at 53% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-08-02

• Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  other · 2026-08-02

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 93% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-08-01

• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  sports · 2026-07-31

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 63% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-31

• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 64% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  politics · 2026-07-31

• Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 88% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-30

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 60% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-30

• Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti

  Eroteme AI forecast Lorenzo Musetti at 59% confidence. Resolved Lorenzo Musetti — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-29

• Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?

  Eroteme AI forecast Up at 59% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-29

• U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  politics · 2026-07-29

• The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally

  Eroteme AI forecast Caty McNally at 63% confidence. Resolved Caty McNally — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-28

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 85% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  politics · 2026-07-28

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-28

• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 73% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  finance · 2026-07-28

• Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  politics · 2026-07-27

• The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic

  Eroteme AI forecast Katie Volynets at 58% confidence. Resolved Katie Volynets — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-27

• Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?

  Eroteme AI forecast Up at 62% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-07-27

• Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In

  Eroteme AI forecast magic at 57% confidence. Resolved magic — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-26

• Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 51% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  crypto · 2026-07-26

• Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?

  Eroteme AI forecast Up at 65% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-26

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 73% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-07-26

• LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

  Eroteme AI forecast Karmine Corp at 75% confidence. Resolved Karmine Corp — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-25

• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 91% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-25

• LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

  Eroteme AI forecast Karmine Corp at 65% confidence. Resolved Karmine Corp — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-24

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 94% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-07-24

• Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  science · 2026-07-23

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  finance · 2026-07-23

• Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)

  Eroteme AI forecast Team Falcons at 58% confidence. Resolved 100 Thieves — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-07-22

• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-07-22

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 51% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-22

• Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria

  Eroteme AI forecast Jaime Faria at 62% confidence. Resolved Jaime Faria — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-21

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 59% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-21

• Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 53% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-21

• Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinez

  Eroteme AI forecast Henrique Rocha at 62% confidence. Resolved Pedro Martinez — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-07-20

• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  world · 2026-07-20

• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 92% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  politics · 2026-07-19

• Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 69% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-07-19

• Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  finance · 2026-07-19

• Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 54% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  sports · 2026-07-19

• Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

  Eroteme AI forecast BetBoom Team at 75% confidence. Resolved PARIVISION — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-07-19

• Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-19

• Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-07-19

• Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 63% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-19

• Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 58% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-18

• Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-07-18

• France vs. England: Both Teams to Score

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 64% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-07-17

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 17?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-17

• Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 55% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-07-16

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 16?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 55% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-16

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-07-16

• Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 58% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-07-15

• Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  weather · 2026-07-15

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-07-14