AI forecast record
Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,651 forecasts and counting.
- Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 56% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
politics · 2026-09-17
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 79% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-17
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-17
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-09-17
- Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 80% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-17
- Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-09-17
- Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 82% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
finance · 2026-09-17
- Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 69% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
world · 2026-09-17
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 62% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-16
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 61% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-09-16
- Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 82% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-09-16
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 69% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
other · 2026-09-16
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 82% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
finance · 2026-09-16
- Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 63% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-09-16
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 89% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
sports · 2026-09-15
- Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
sports · 2026-09-15
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-09-15
- Will AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 79% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-15
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
science · 2026-09-15
- Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 66% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-09-15
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-09-15
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 79% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-09-15
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 60% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-14
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 69% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-14
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 91% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
science · 2026-09-14
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 64% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
finance · 2026-09-14
- Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 74% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-09-14
- Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 76% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-13
- Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer
Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
other · 2026-09-13
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 72% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-13
- Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 82% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-09-13
- Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 82% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-09-13
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
Eroteme AI forecast Levante UD at 63% confidence. Resolved Levante UD — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-13
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 72% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-12
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 61% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-09-12
- Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
Eroteme AI forecast Under at 59% confidence. Resolved Under — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-12
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 95% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-09-12
- Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the October meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 63% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
finance · 2026-09-12
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-12
- Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 57% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-09-12
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 66% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-09-11
- Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
science · 2026-09-11
- Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)
Eroteme AI forecast Garcia at 64% confidence. Resolved Garcia — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-11
- Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 56% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
business · 2026-09-11
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 63% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-09-11
- Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 56% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-10
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 87% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-10
- Will Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-10
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-09-10
- Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.33% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-09-10
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 66% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-09-10
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-09-10
- Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 73% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-09-10
- Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-08
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 81% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-08
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-09-08
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 87% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-09-08
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 61% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-09-07
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-07
- Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 72% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
science · 2026-09-07