AI forecast record
Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,656 forecasts and counting.
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-09-08
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 87% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-09-08
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 61% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-09-07
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-07
- Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 72% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
science · 2026-09-07
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 67% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
world · 2026-09-07
- Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 66% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-06
- Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-09-10?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 67% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-06
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 82% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-09-06
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 84% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-05
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-05
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 6?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 62% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-09-05
- Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 76% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
finance · 2026-09-05
- Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 67% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-09-05
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 5?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-09-04
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 59% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-04
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 63% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-09-04
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 3?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 67% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-09-03
- Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 76% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-09-03
- Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 64% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-09-02
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Eroteme AI forecast Philadelphia Phillies at 62% confidence. Resolved Arizona Diamondbacks — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-09-02
- Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 85% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-09-02
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 71% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-09-02
- New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Eroteme AI forecast Tampa Bay Rays at 64% confidence. Resolved Tampa Bay Rays — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-09-01
- XRP Up or Down on September 1?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 63% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-09-01
- Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-09-01
- Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 68% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
politics · 2026-09-01
- Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-08-31
- San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
Eroteme AI forecast San Diego Padres at 60% confidence. Resolved San Diego Padres — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-31
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 1?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 73% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-08-31
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-08-31
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Eroteme AI forecast Aston Villa FC at 76% confidence. Resolved Aston Villa FC — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-30
- Israel Election: Likud & RZP Run on Same List?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 80% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-08-30
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-29
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 93% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-08-29
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-08-29
- Moises Itauma vs. Filip Hrgovic
Eroteme AI forecast Moises Itauma at 89% confidence. Resolved Filip Hrgovic — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-08-29
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
finance · 2026-08-28
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers
Eroteme AI forecast Los Angeles Dodgers at 67% confidence. Resolved Los Angeles Dodgers — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-28
- Will Solana dip to $100 August 24-30?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-08-28
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-08-28
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-08-28
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Eroteme AI forecast New York Yankees at 63% confidence. Resolved New York Yankees — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-28
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 29?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 55% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-08-28
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
Eroteme AI forecast Cleveland Guardians at 60% confidence. Resolved Kansas City Royals — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-08-28
- Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 54% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-08-28
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
business · 2026-08-28
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-08-28
- Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 61% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-08-28
- Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 92% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-08-28
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 83% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-28
- Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-28
- Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals
Eroteme AI forecast Washington Nationals at 65% confidence. Resolved Washington Nationals — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-27
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 83% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-27
- Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 92% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-08-27
- Will Solana reach $120 in August?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-08-27
- Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-08-27
- Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
tech · 2026-08-26
- Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-08-26
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-08-25