How to Rob a Bank Opening Weekend Box Office prediction

How to Rob a Bank took in $900,000 in Thursday previews that began at 4PM, according to a trade report dated Nov. 13. That is not the three-day weekend total. The Numbers, the deciding source, had not published a weekend figure when it was read on Nov. 13, so the final number is still pending. The same-day trade outlook expects a launch in the high single digits in North America. That sits above the $7 million line, which is why the forecast leans toward an opening at or above it. The picture is not clean. An independent forecast dated Nov. 12 puts the range at $3.5 million to $8 million, which straddles the threshold. It also cites traditional studio tracking of $6 million-plus, which sits just under it. Another trade report dated Nov. 12 says the film has tracked poorly, carries career-low reviews for director David Leitch, and looks unlikely to crack $10 million from 2,810 theaters. The preview gross is the sturdiest figure we have. At the usual eight to twelve times multiplier, $900,000 implies roughly $7.2 million to $10.8 million. That range is mostly above the line, but only just at the low end. Weak reviews could push the film toward that low end. The call is a modest lean, not a firm one. The thing to watch is Friday's and Saturday's studio estimates. If the weekend projection slips toward $6 million, the picture changes.