Five-year Treasury yield sits above 4.75% line as October winds down

financeCloses 3d

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?

Yes 33%No 67%

No 72%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Salazar looks better placed than Rodriguez to hold Florida's 27th District

politicsCloses 6d

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?

Yes 35%No 65%

No 86%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Ethereum holds above $2,200 with a cushion, but support is thinning

cryptoCloses 5d

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?

Yes 86%No 14%

Yes 90%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Muse from Meta looks unlikely to be back at No. 1 on the US App Store

cultureCloses 2d

Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?

Yes 20%No 80%

No 78%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

AC Milan look the stronger side against Bologna at San Siro

sportsCloses 7h

Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?

Yes 57%No 43%

Yes 59.39%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree · slight lean

Google's Gemini Carbon looks unlikely to reach the public by mid-November

techCloses 18d

Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?

Yes 48%No 52%

No 82%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Anthropic's IPO is unlikely to land on November 19 itself

businessCloses 22d

Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?

Yes 23%No 77%

No 78%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Bresnahan trails Cognetti in PA-08, leaving Republicans the underdog

politicsCloses 6d

Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?

Yes 14%No 86%

No 67%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Bitcoin sits just above $80,000 with a dip to $78,000 looking more likely than not

cryptoCloses 4d

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 26-November 1?

Yes 57%No 43%

Yes 62%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Tucker Wetmore looks unlikely to take CMA New Artist of the Year

cultureCloses 21d

Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Yes 41%No 59%

No 75%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Roma look the stronger side to beat Cagliari at the Olimpico

sports✓ Correct

Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?

Yes 74%No 26%

Yes 61%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Quake count for 26 October to 1 November likely to top six

scienceCloses 4d

Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Yes 14%No 86%

No 84%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Eli Lilly looks more likely to miss the $7.49 line than clear it

businessCloses 1d

Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 41%No 59%

No 55.78%was Yes 76%AI forecast · models split · slight lean

Democrats face a steep climb to win North Carolina's 13th District

politicsCloses 6d

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?

Yes 32%No 68%

No 95%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agreeMarket disagrees

Bitcoin looks short of the $84,000 line for its Nov. 1 noon close

cryptoCloses 4d

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 1?

Yes 20%No 80%

No 90%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Tate McRae's "Housewife" looks unlikely to land at No. 2 on the Hot 100

culture✗ Incorrect

Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?

Yes 77%No 23%

No 75%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Coritiba are less likely than not to beat Grêmio at Couto Pereira

sports✓ Correct

Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-26?

Yes 44%No 56%

No 60%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Gemini 4 Argon (High) holds first place on the Arena text board

techCloses 5d

Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?

Yes 70%No 30%

Yes 78%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Elon Musk's fortune sits above $900B, so the $800B to $900B band looks unlikely

financeCloses 3d

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?

Yes 26%No 74%

No 70%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Neither Israeli bloc looks likely to reach 61 seats in the election

worldAwaiting result

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

Yes 12%No 88%

No 77%AI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree