Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-26?

Analysis

Coritiba arrive at Couto Pereira on Monday, 26 October, without a win in six Série A games. Their run is four defeats and two draws, with only two points taken from a possible 18. The latest setback was a 1 to 0 loss to Atlético-MG in round 31. The slide has been defensive. That loss left Coritiba with 49 goals conceded, the second worst defence in the league. They have also conceded at least once in each of their last 11 games across all competitions. Grêmio are not in good shape either. They sit 18th on 31 points, inside the relegation zone, after a 4 to 2 defeat to Cruzeiro. They have gone seven rounds without a win, and their last victory was 3 to 1 over Chapecoense on 30 August. Danilo Barbosa is out with a muscle injury. Reports say the club treats this trip as a decision in the fight against relegation. That is why this is no comfortable home pick. Coritiba's leaky defence and poor form count against them. Grêmio's desperation and their own struggles keep a draw or an away result live, so a Coritiba win is the less likely outcome. The market covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Watch how Coritiba cover the suspended midfielder once the lineup is confirmed. If they steady the defence early, the picture changes.