Business predictions
AI forecasts for business: company earnings, executive changes, deals and rankings. Four AI models research each question and vote, and every forecast is tracked to its result.
Hit rate: 69% (22 of 32 settled forecasts correct)
Series
Open forecasts
- Anthropic IPO Date prediction
AI: no IPO by November 15, 76%
2026-11-16
- Anthropic IPO Date (Nov 19) prediction
AI: no IPO on November 19, 78%
2026-11-20
- Best AI Model End of November prediction
AI: Google has the best AI model, 69%
2026-12-01
- Hegseth Out as Defense Secretary by November 30 prediction
AI: not out by November 30, 75%
2026-12-01
Recent results
- Jensen Huang Resignation or Removal Date prediction
Incorrect · said not announced by December 31, 2026, 80%
2027-01-01
- Frontdoor (FTDR) Quarterly Earnings Beat prediction
Incorrect · said Frontdoor beats quarterly earnings, 70%
2026-11-05
- Best Chinese AI Company End of October prediction
Correct · said Alibaba does not have the best model, 73%
2026-10-31
- Best AI Model End of October prediction
Correct · said Anthropic does not have the best model, 69%
2026-10-31
- Eli Lilly Quarterly Earnings Beat prediction
Incorrect · said Eli Lilly beats earnings, 76%
2026-10-29
- Kimberly Guilfoyle Out as Ambassador to Greece prediction
Correct · said out by October 31, 70%
2026-11-01
- Goldman Sachs Quarterly Earnings Beat prediction
Incorrect · said Goldman Sachs misses earnings, 83%
2026-10-13
- Trump Remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company prediction
Correct · said says Manufacture or Manufacturing, 91%
2026-10-01
- Best Code Arena WebDev AI End of September prediction
Incorrect · said Anthropic does not have the best model, 84%
2026-09-30
- Best AI Agent End of September prediction
Correct · said OpenAI does not have the best, 84%
2026-10-01
- Best Chinese AI Company End of September prediction
Correct · said Alibaba does not have the best model, 86%
2026-09-30
- CarMax Quarterly Earnings Beat prediction
Correct · said CarMax beats earnings, 62%
2026-09-29
- Vail Resorts (MTN) Quarterly Earnings prediction
Correct · said Vail Resorts does not beat earnings, 62%
2026-09-28
- US x China Tariff Agreement by December 31 prediction
Correct · said agreement reached by September 30, 91%
2026-10-01
- Costco Quarterly Earnings Beat prediction
Correct · said Costco beats quarterly earnings, 56%
2026-09-24
- Next Mythos-Class Model Release prediction
Correct · said not released by August 31, 2026, 95%
2026-08-31
- Durable Goods Orders MoM May 2026 prediction
Correct · said not between 4% and 6%, 95%
2026-06-25
- SpaceX IPO Date prediction
Correct · said IPO by June 15, 65%
2026-06-15
- Riku Dining Group IPO Closing Market Cap prediction
Correct · said RIKU does not IPO before June 2026, 75%
2026-05-27
- BW Industrial Holdings IPO Closing Market Cap prediction
Correct · said BW Industrial does not IPO before June 2026, 75%
2026-05-27
- Robinhood Markets (HOOD) High in May 2026 prediction
Correct · said HOOD does not hit $100, 75%
2026-06-01
- NVIDIA Data Center Revenue in Q1 prediction
Incorrect · said not above 75B, 65%
2026-05-27
- Jobs Added in April prediction
Correct · said US does not lose 0 to 50k jobs, 56%
2026-05-08
- SOFR High in April prediction
Correct · said does not hit 3.76% (High), 31%
2026-04-30
- Boeing Airplane Deliveries in Q1 prediction
Correct · said not above 150, 56%
2026-04-22
- US Jobs Added in March prediction
Incorrect · said under 100k jobs added, 75%
2026-04-03
- U.S. Tariff Rate on China on March 31 prediction
Correct · said not between 15% and 25%, 70%
2026-03-31
- Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February prediction
Incorrect · said Up, 75%
2026-03-31
- SPY Up or Down on July 13 prediction
Incorrect · said Up, 60%
2026-07-13
- SPY Up or Down on May 18 prediction
Correct · said Down, 64%
2026-05-18
- SPY Up or Down on May 6 prediction
Correct · said Up, 75%
2026-05-06
- SPY Up or Down on April 30 prediction
Incorrect · said Down, 49%
2026-04-30