Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?

Analysis

Slight lean · Yes 58.39%. This is a modest probability edge, not a high-certainty outcome. Türkiye will be without Orkun Kökçü, who was removed from the squad because of a foot injury, according to reports published on 1 October. Another report lists Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kenan Yıldız as ruled out as well. That is a heavy loss of midfield and attacking quality for a side still searching for its first points in Group A1. Belgium have their own gaps. Diego Moreira is suspended after his second yellow card of the competition, which came against France. Even so, the home side carry the stronger profile into the match in Liège, which is scheduled for 2 October. Flashscore lists Belgium at 8 in the FIFA rankings and Türkiye at 27. The recent run points the same way. Belgium opened this Nations League campaign with a 2-0 win over Italy, then lost 1-0 to France on 28 September. That was the first defeat of Mark van Bommel's spell in charge after two games. Türkiye lost 4-1 at home to Italy on Monday, and coach Vincenzo Montella spoke of how hard it is to face opponents of this level in successive matches. This forecast leans toward a Belgium win inside 90 minutes, though a draw or an upset remains possible. The shortlist of absentees on both sides is the main caution. The thing to watch is Van Bommel's lineup. If Belgium field a strong midfield and attack despite Moreira's absence, that would strengthen the case for a home win.