Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18?

Analysis

Regional guidance for the 17th and 18th points to widespread moderate to heavy rain across eastern and southern Sichuan, Chongqing, Hubei and neighboring provinces, a pattern that typically caps daytime heating. Even so, the station-level numbers tracked for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport still point toward a high that clears the 22°C mark rather than settling at or below it. Rain can trim a daytime peak, but it does not automatically drag readings down to the mid-teens, especially with residual humidity and cloud-trapped warmth common in this basin city during September. Separate forecast guidance circulating for the broader region describes daytime figures in the high teens to around 20°C, but that guidance is for a different location and cannot be read as a direct stand-in for the Jiangbei airport reading. Overnight lows reported in the upper 70s Fahrenheit for a nearby area likewise describe a different station's air mass, not Chongqing's own overnight profile. The detail worth watching is timing: if the rain band E7 describes arrives early and holds through the afternoon, it could suppress the peak enough to flip the outcome toward the cooler bracket.