Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20?

Analysis

Leeds arrive at this fixture on the back of a 4-1 thrashing of Newcastle, and Daniel Farke has signalled he sees no reason to change a winning side. That kind of momentum, paired with the freedom to keep the same shape and personnel, is exactly the sort of edge that tips a close contest in the home side's favour. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, have to make do without Axel Disasi, suspended after his red card against Ipswich, and they travel to Elland Road just three days after a Europa League fixture. Squeezed schedules and a missing defensive body rarely help a side trying to disrupt a confident home team, and that combination is doing real work in this forecast. Strip away the injuries and rotation questions, and the underlying strength of these two sides already points to Leeds as the mild favourite, with a draw a genuine possibility and Palace's away chance the smallest slice. Layer in Palace's suspension and short turnaround, plus Leeds' settled, in-form XI, and the lean toward a home win firms up a touch further. The one thing to watch is fatigue. If Palace's Europa League exertions blunt their legs in the final third, expect Leeds to press that advantage; if Palace instead find fresh legs off the bench, this could tighten into the draw territory the underlying numbers still respect.