Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 10?

Analysis

Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" is not chasing the runner-up spot, it is still sitting on top of the mountain. As of the Sept. 26-dated chart, the song notched its 23rd week at No. 1, breaking the all-time Hot 100 record it had shared with Mariah Carey's "All I Want for Christmas Is You." Reports through mid and late September consistently describe the track's streaming, airplay and sales figures as still commanding, with Billboard itself noting the song "most likely isn't done racking up total weeks" atop the chart. That trajectory is the whole case against a No. 2 finish for the week of October 10. A single-digit percentage drop in streams or airplay week over week is not the kind of erosion that typically knocks a record-setting, multi-month chart leader down a full rung, let alone past whatever is chasing it. Snapshot chart data referenced in the reporting period also shows "Boston" trailing directly behind "Choosin' Texas," reinforcing the picture of Langley's song still out front rather than settling into second place. Given that pattern, the more defensible read is that "Choosin' Texas" continues to occupy the top spot rather than moving to No. 2 on the chart dated October 10. The one thing to watch: any sudden airplay or streaming slide reported in the two chart cycles before October 10 that would signal the historic run is finally ending.