Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Analysis

Netflix's Tudum page dated Oct. 22 says all 10 episodes of Nobody Wants This Season 3 are now streaming. That is a real launch, but this forecast leans against it taking the No. 1 US TV spot for the week of Oct. 19 to 25, with the list due Tuesday, Oct. 27. The main reason is that the field is crowded and the evidence doesn't show Season 3 clearly ahead of it. The newest published list covers Oct. 12 to 18, an earlier week. Season 2's record is useful but easy to misread. Netflix says it held No. 1 on the English TV list for two weeks and drew 18 million views in its first 11 days. That is a global list, so it does not show how Season 2 performed in the US. Other new titles also compete in the same chart. Netflix's Oct. 23 page also describes Lupin Part 4 as available to watch, though the supplied material doesn't say when it was released or how it performs in the US. Season 3 has a plausible path, since it arrived with a full 10-episode drop. The thing to watch is the Oct. 27 US list. It will show whether Season 3's first days beat Below and the other holdovers.