Olivia Rodrigo is unlikely to hold No. 1 on the Nov. 7 Billboard 200

Olivia Rodrigo's "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" returned to No. 1 on the Oct. 31-dated Billboard 200 with 75,000 equivalent album units, up 15% from the prior week, for the tracking week ending Oct. 22. That was its third week on top, after it spent the chart weeks dated June 27 and July 4 at No. 1. The lift followed the Oct. 15 release of the "Expectations" remix with Chappell Roan, which Billboard reports jumped 63-3 on the Hot 100. Even so, this forecast leans against Rodrigo repeating on the Nov. 7 chart. The cushion is real but not huge. Zach Bryan's "Young Manhood and Other Donatable Organs" debuted at No. 2 on the latest chart with 65,500 units. Morgan Wallen's "I'm the Problem" had 54,000, Ella Langley's "Dandelion" 49,000, and Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" 42,000 after falling from No. 1. Rodrigo's lead over Bryan is the closest gap, and a new release or a fading remix effect could close it. What to watch: the units for the week ending Oct. 29, and whether the remix momentum holds against any major debut.