NO · 88%: Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?

The rating prior, built from results alone with home advantage included, gives Forest a 19% chance of winning in regulation time, with a draw at 26% and a City win at 55%. The team news does not give a clear reason to move away from it. City have scored 20 times in the Premier League and have the division's top xG total. Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol are expected to return to the defence, with Erling Haaland leading the line, though the line-up is not confirmed. Antoine Semenyo is out with a knee injury and will not feature. City come off a 3-2 Champions League win at RB Leipzig on Wednesday 4 November. Forest have some help. Oliver Glasner said Igor Jesus has trained the full week with no reaction and looks good for the weekend. Nicolas Dominguez is reported to be out for around eight weeks, and Nicolo Savona is not expected back until after the international break. The thing to watch is whether Jesus starts. If he does, and Forest finally find a home goal, a draw becomes a more realistic way for this forecast to fail.