AI forecast record
Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,412 forecasts and counting.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 59% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-04-11
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 61% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-04-11
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 47% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-11
- Will more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 35% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-04-11
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 72% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-04-11
- Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 43% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-04-11
- Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in April?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 56% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
business · 2026-04-11
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 44% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-11
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 62% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-11
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 12?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 63% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-11
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 12?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 46% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-11
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 10?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 62% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-10
- Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov
Eroteme AI forecast Fury at 92% confidence. Resolved Fury — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-10
- Boxing: Conor Benn vs. Regis Prograis
Eroteme AI forecast Benn at 84% confidence. Resolved Benn — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-10
- Nets vs. Bucks
Eroteme AI forecast Bucks at 54% confidence. Resolved Bucks — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-10
- UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Eroteme AI forecast Jirí Procházka at 54% confidence. Resolved Carlos Ulberg — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-10
- Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 55% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-04-10
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 13% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-04-10
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 74% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-10
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 89% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-10
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 51% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
science · 2026-04-10
- Cavaliers vs. Hawks
Eroteme AI forecast Hawks at 57% confidence. Resolved Hawks — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-10
- Raptors vs. Knicks
Eroteme AI forecast Knicks at 70% confidence. Resolved Knicks — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-10
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 55% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-10
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 66% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-10
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 58% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-09
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 58% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-09
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 45% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-09
- Lightning vs. Canadiens
Eroteme AI forecast Canadiens at 58% confidence. Resolved Canadiens — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-09
- Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 57% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-04-09
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 63% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-04-09
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 39% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-09
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 42% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-09
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 46% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
science · 2026-04-09
- Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 30% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-04-09
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Eroteme AI forecast FUT Esports at 78% confidence. Resolved FUT Esports — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-09
- 76ers vs. Rockets
Eroteme AI forecast Rockets at 46% confidence. Resolved Rockets — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-09
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 49% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-09
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 9?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 78% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-09
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 8?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 45% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-08
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 40% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-08
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
Eroteme AI forecast MOUZ at 54% confidence. Resolved MOUZ — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-08
- Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)
Eroteme AI forecast Nuggets at 65% confidence. Resolved Grizzlies — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-08
- Will "Silicon Valley" be said 2+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 42% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-04-08
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 58% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-04-08
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 58% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-04-08
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 29% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-04-08
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 9?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 32% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-04-08
- Counter-Strike: ex-ENCE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs
Eroteme AI forecast ex-ENCE at 57% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
sports · 2026-04-08
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Eroteme AI forecast Gen.G at 43% confidence. Resolved Gen.G — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-08
- Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 56% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-08
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 8?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 28% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-08
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 56% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-07
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 7?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 52% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-07
- Rockets vs. Suns
Eroteme AI forecast Rockets at 54% confidence. Resolved Rockets — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-07
- Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings
Eroteme AI forecast Blue Jackets at 56% confidence. Resolved Blue Jackets — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-07
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 24% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-04-07
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 32% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-04-07
- Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 82% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-04-07
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 50% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-04-07