AI forecast record
Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,412 forecasts and counting.
- Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-03-17
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 18?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-03-17
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-03-17
- Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on March 17?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 78% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-17
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 18?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 72% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-17
- Miami Open: Solana Sierra vs Jaqueline Cristian
Eroteme AI forecast Jaqueline Cristian at 72% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
sports · 2026-03-17
- Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5
Eroteme AI forecast Over at 60% confidence. Resolved Over — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-17
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 78% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-03-17
- Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-03-17
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-03-17
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 62% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-03-16
- Murcia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Javier Barranco Cosano
Eroteme AI forecast Pablo Llamas Ruiz at 76% confidence. Awaiting resolution.
sports · 2026-03-16
- Magic vs. Hawks
Eroteme AI forecast Hawks at 60% confidence. Resolved Hawks — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-16
- Bruins vs. Devils
Eroteme AI forecast Bruins at 65% confidence. Resolved Devils — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-03-16
- Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
other · 2026-03-16
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
finance · 2026-03-16
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-03-16
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
weather · 2026-03-16
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 19?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-16
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 16?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 85% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-16
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 17?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-16
- Another US bank failure by March 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-03-16
- Will Powell say "Distortion" during March press conference?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-03-16
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 77% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-03-16
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-03-16
- Warriors vs. Wizards
Eroteme AI forecast Warriors at 74% confidence. Resolved Warriors — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-16
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 72% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-03-15
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Eroteme AI forecast Team Yandex at 81% confidence. Resolved Team Yandex — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-15
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs
Eroteme AI forecast Paper Rex at 68% confidence. Resolved Nongshim RedForce — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-03-15
- Jazz vs. Kings
Eroteme AI forecast Kings at 65% confidence. Resolved Kings — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-15
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Eroteme AI forecast Natus Vincere at 65% confidence. Resolved Natus Vincere — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-15
- Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
tech · 2026-03-15
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 85% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-03-15
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 16?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-03-15
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 72% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
tech · 2026-03-15
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 80% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-15
- Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 15?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 72% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-15
- Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
finance · 2026-03-15
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 57% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-03-15
- Warriors vs. Knicks
Eroteme AI forecast Knicks at 70% confidence. Resolved Knicks — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-15
- Sharks vs. Senators
Eroteme AI forecast Senators at 62% confidence. Resolved Senators — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-15
- Magic vs. Heat
Eroteme AI forecast Heat at 60% confidence. Resolved Magic — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-03-14
- Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights
Eroteme AI forecast Golden Knights at 70% confidence. Resolved Golden Knights — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-14
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Eroteme AI forecast Aurora Gaming at 60% confidence. Resolved Aurora Gaming — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-14
- Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5
Eroteme AI forecast Over at 58% confidence. Resolved Under — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-03-14
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-03-14
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-03-14
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-03-14
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 14?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-14
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 16?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 78% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-14
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 16?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-14
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-03-14
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-03-14
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-14
- Ducks vs. Senators
Eroteme AI forecast Senators at 65% confidence. Resolved Senators — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-03-14
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-03-14
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-03-13
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-03-13
- Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 89% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
tech · 2026-03-13
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 14?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 72% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
weather · 2026-03-13