Elon Musk Tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026 prediction

Current market odds of 20% for 40-64 tweets are out of sync with historical post-earnings activity. Elon Musk typically sees a significant surge, around +120% over his average 3-day weekend volume (approx. 48 tweets). This points to an expected range of roughly 105 tweets, which falls well above the 40-64 bracket. The market's combined probability for 65-114 tweets (62%) strongly supports this higher-volume expectation, suggesting the earnings catalyst will drive engagement significantly beyond the specified range. The internal 'projected 52 ±12' seems inconsistent with the broader historical pattern of substantial post-earnings activity.