Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Liverpool come into Sunday 25 October, 14:00 GMT, at Anfield having beaten Villarreal 4-3 in the Champions League after trailing by two goals, and reports indicate Rio Ngumoha keeps his place in a predicted XI after a player of the match display. Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak are also expected back in the starting side. The rating prior, built from Premier League results over 2025-26 and 2026-27, gives Brighton a 28% chance of winning, with Liverpool at 44% and a draw at 28%. The two sides sit almost level on those ratings, Liverpool at 1545 and Brighton at 1550, so the gap comes from home advantage. The forecast leans toward Brighton not winning, which covers a draw as well as a Liverpool win. It sits in line with that prior rather than moving away from it. Brighton are not short of credentials. They went third with a 5-0 win over Crystal Palace, and Fabian Hürzeler has said Mats Wieffer is getting closer to a return, though not for the Palace game. Whether Wieffer features at Anfield is not confirmed. Liverpool have their own problems. Reports indicate Dominik Szoboszlai and Jeremie Frimpong were unavailable after being forced off against Brentford, and Victor Munoz missed the Villarreal game with no reason confirmed. The thing to watch is the Liverpool team sheet. If more of those absences are confirmed, the home side's edge shrinks.