NYC Precipitation in March prediction

Current forecasts show dry conditions for the remainder of March, suggesting NYC is unlikely to achieve the 4-5 inches range. Although historical averages support potential for this range, mid-month weather patterns and forecasts predict minimal precipitation ahead. Weather post the March 16 rainfall event has remained dry, and forecasts predict similar conditions will persist. With only 12 days left, averaging 0.1-0.3 inches per typical rainy day will not suffice, reducing odds for hitting the 4-5 inch bracket. Without new updates indicating a shift to wetter conditions, the likelihood remains lower than current market probability. Consistent dry signals from regional forecasts like the NWS further support this assessment.