AI forecast record

Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,412 forecasts and counting.

• Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 49% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-04-25

• Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 77% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-25

• Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 52% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-25

• Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta

  Eroteme AI forecast Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 60% confidence. Resolved Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-25

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 27?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 46% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-04-25

• Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?

  Eroteme AI forecast Down at 25% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-25

• Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 24?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 39% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-24

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 26?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 51% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-04-24

• Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 52% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-24

• Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs

  Eroteme AI forecast Monte at 53% confidence. Resolved Monte — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-24

• Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 41% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-04-24

• Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 38% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-04-24

• Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 40% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  weather · 2026-04-24

• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 95% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  weather · 2026-04-24

• Lightning vs. Canadiens

  Eroteme AI forecast Canadiens at 49% confidence. Resolved Canadiens — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-24

• Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

  Eroteme AI forecast Trail Blazers at 49% confidence. Resolved Spurs — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-04-24

• Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?

  Eroteme AI forecast Up at 41% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-04-24

• Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 35% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-24

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-23

• Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 36% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-23

• Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs

  Eroteme AI forecast NIP at 69% confidence. Resolved NIP — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-23

• Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

  Eroteme AI forecast FUT Esports at 47% confidence. Resolved FUT Esports — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-23

• Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 43% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  finance · 2026-04-23

• Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 91% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  science · 2026-04-23

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 37% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-04-23

• DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 59% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  politics · 2026-04-23

• Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  weather · 2026-04-23

• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 24?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 89% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  weather · 2026-04-23

• Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

  Eroteme AI forecast Nuggets at 51% confidence. Resolved Timberwolves — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-04-23

• Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

  Eroteme AI forecast BetBoom Team at 67% confidence. Resolved BetBoom Team — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-23

• Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 43% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-04-23

• Bitcoin Up or Down on April 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast Down at 37% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-23

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 24?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 87% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-22

• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 21% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-22

• LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

  Eroteme AI forecast Cloud9 at 64% confidence. Resolved Team Liquid — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-04-22

• Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals

  Eroteme AI forecast Baltimore Orioles at 61% confidence. Resolved Baltimore Orioles — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-22

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 40% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-04-22

• Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 50% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  politics · 2026-04-22

• FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 61% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  science · 2026-04-22

• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 57% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  weather · 2026-04-22

• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast Down at 43% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was incorrect.

  finance · 2026-04-22

• Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)

  Eroteme AI forecast FC Bayern München at 46% confidence. Resolved FC Bayern München — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-22

• Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Kopriva

  Eroteme AI forecast Zhizhen Zhang at 50% confidence. Resolved Vit Kopriva — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-04-22

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 47% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-22

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 51% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-04-22

• Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 21?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 40% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-21

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 74% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-21

• Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 47% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-04-21

• Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

  Eroteme AI forecast Spurs at 57% confidence. Resolved Trail Blazers — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-04-21

• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 29% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-04-21

• Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 53% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-04-21

• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 36% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-04-21

• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 74% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  weather · 2026-04-21

• Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 56% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  tech · 2026-04-21

• Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

  Eroteme AI forecast Virtus.pro at 53% confidence. Resolved MOUZ — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-04-21

• Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

  Eroteme AI forecast Xtreme Gaming at 62% confidence. Resolved Xtreme Gaming — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-04-21

• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 51% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-21

• Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

  Eroteme AI forecast Up at 65% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-21

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 21?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 40% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-20

• Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 20?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 62% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-04-20