AI forecast record
Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,412 forecasts and counting.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Ksenia Efremova vs Lulu Sun
Eroteme AI forecast Lulu Sun at 49% confidence. Resolved Ksenia Efremova — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-20
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connell
Eroteme AI forecast Dino Prizmic at 80% confidence. Resolved Dino Prizmic — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-20
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 49% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-20
- Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 59% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-04-20
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 36% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
politics · 2026-04-20
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 46% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
politics · 2026-04-20
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 56% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
science · 2026-04-20
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 46% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-04-20
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 20?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 19% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was correct.
finance · 2026-04-20
- 76ers vs. Celtics
Eroteme AI forecast Celtics at 41% confidence. Resolved 76ers — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-20
- Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Maximus Jones
Eroteme AI forecast Mark Lajal at 70% confidence. Resolved Mark Lajal — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-20
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 20?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 66% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-20
- Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 30% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-20
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 20?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 86% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-19
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 19?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 41% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-19
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins
Eroteme AI forecast Cincinnati Reds at 37% confidence. Resolved Cincinnati Reds — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-19
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees
Eroteme AI forecast New York Yankees at 54% confidence. Resolved New York Yankees — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-19
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 52% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-04-19
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 42% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-19
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 53% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-19
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 62% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-19
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5
Eroteme AI forecast Over at 56% confidence. Resolved Under — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-19
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 21?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 40% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-19
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 19?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 87% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-18
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 18?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 47% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-18
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
Eroteme AI forecast Vitality at 63% confidence. Resolved Vitality — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-18
- UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)
Eroteme AI forecast Mandel Nallo at 70% confidence. Resolved Jai Herbert — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-18
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 40% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-18
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 58% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-04-18
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 59% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-04-18
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 37% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-18
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 46% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-18
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 57% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
science · 2026-04-18
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 50% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
weather · 2026-04-18
- AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5
Eroteme AI forecast Under at 45% confidence. Resolved Under — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-18
- UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
Eroteme AI forecast JJ Aldrich at 50% confidence. Resolved JJ Aldrich — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-18
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 32% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-18
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 19?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 66% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-18
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 89% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-17
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 18?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 80% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-17
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)
Eroteme AI forecast Sporting Kansas City at 49% confidence. Resolved Vancouver Whitecaps FC — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-17
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 54% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-17
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 44% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
culture · 2026-04-17
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 51% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
world · 2026-04-17
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 50% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-17
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 77% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
tech · 2026-04-17
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5
Eroteme AI forecast Over at 55% confidence. Resolved Under — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-17
- Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broady
Eroteme AI forecast Liam Broady at 31% confidence. Resolved Liam Broady — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-17
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 17?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 84% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-17
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 17?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 77% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-17
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 16?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 41% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
crypto · 2026-04-16
- Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17?
Eroteme AI forecast Down at 47% confidence. Resolved Up — the forecast was incorrect.
crypto · 2026-04-16
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Eroteme AI forecast Team Heretics at 40% confidence. Resolved Team Heretics — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-16
- Blues vs. Utah
Eroteme AI forecast Blues at 53% confidence. Resolved Blues — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-16
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 55% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
culture · 2026-04-16
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 45% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-16
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 37% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.
world · 2026-04-16
- Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
Eroteme AI forecast No at 48% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.
tech · 2026-04-16
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Eroteme AI forecast Bilibili Gaming at 54% confidence. Resolved Top Esports — the forecast was incorrect.
sports · 2026-04-16
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?
Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 61% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.
sports · 2026-04-16