AI forecast record

Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,412 forecasts and counting.

• Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-24

• Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 85% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-03-24

• Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  politics · 2026-03-24

• Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 90% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  world · 2026-03-24

• Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 26?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  weather · 2026-03-24

• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  weather · 2026-03-24

• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  weather · 2026-03-24

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 76% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-24

• Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 24?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 60% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-24

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 27?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 84% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-03-24

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 29?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 83% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-03-24

• Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  finance · 2026-03-24

• Will Japan’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 2.9%?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  finance · 2026-03-24

• Warriors vs. Mavericks

  Eroteme AI forecast Warriors at 58% confidence. Resolved Warriors — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-23

• Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik

  Eroteme AI forecast Jakub Mensik at 70% confidence. Resolved Frances Tiafoe — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-23

• Senators vs. Rangers

  Eroteme AI forecast Senators at 70% confidence. Resolved Senators — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-23

• Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

  Eroteme AI forecast Spirit at 68% confidence. Resolved TheMongolz — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-23

• Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 62 million views on day 3?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-23

• Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  politics · 2026-03-23

• Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  business · 2026-03-23

• Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  politics · 2026-03-23

• US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-03-23

• Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 24?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  weather · 2026-03-23

• Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on March 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-23

• Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 23-29?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 74% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-23

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 25?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-23

• Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 74% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-23

• Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 76% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  finance · 2026-03-23

• UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5

  Eroteme AI forecast Over at 60% confidence. Resolved Under — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-22

• Kings vs. Utah

  Eroteme AI forecast Utah at 62% confidence. Resolved Utah — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-22

• Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda

  Eroteme AI forecast Carlos Alcaraz at 77% confidence. Resolved Sebastian Korda — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-22

• Raptors vs. Suns

  Eroteme AI forecast Raptors at 68% confidence. Resolved Suns — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-22

• Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 74% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  tech · 2026-03-22

• Will "Russia" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-03-22

• Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-03-22

• Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 55% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  politics · 2026-03-22

• Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 87% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-22

• Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-03-22

• Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  tech · 2026-03-22

• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  weather · 2026-03-22

• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 55% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  weather · 2026-03-22

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 83% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-22

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-22

• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-22

• Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-03-22

• Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

  Eroteme AI forecast Vitality at 65% confidence. Resolved Vitality — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-21

• Heat vs. Rockets

  Eroteme AI forecast Rockets at 62% confidence. Resolved Rockets — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-21

• Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators

  Eroteme AI forecast Florida Gators at 75% confidence. Resolved Iowa Hawkeyes — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-21

• Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

  Eroteme AI forecast Alabama Crimson Tide at 65% confidence. Resolved Alabama Crimson Tide — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-21

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-21

• Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 78% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-03-21

• Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  finance · 2026-03-21

• Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 85% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  finance · 2026-03-21

• Will Aubry Bracco be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-21

• Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 90% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-03-21

• Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  politics · 2026-03-21

• Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 45% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-03-21

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 23?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 85% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-21

• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-03-21

• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-03-21