AI forecast record

Every forecast Eroteme's four AI models have published on Polymarket questions, with the outcome once the market settles. 1,412 forecasts and counting.

• Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  science · 2026-03-21

• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  weather · 2026-03-21

• Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 58% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  science · 2026-03-21

• VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

  Eroteme AI forecast Illinois Fighting Illini at 60% confidence. Resolved Illinois Fighting Illini — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-20

• Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

  Eroteme AI forecast Vanderbilt Commodores at 55% confidence. Resolved Nebraska Cornhuskers — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-20

• Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines

  Eroteme AI forecast Michigan Wolverines at 60% confidence. Resolved Michigan Wolverines — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-20

• Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

  Eroteme AI forecast Gonzaga Bulldogs at 65% confidence. Resolved Texas Longhorns — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-20

• Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 88% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-20

• Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  tech · 2026-03-20

• Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-03-20

• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 62% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-03-20

• Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  other · 2026-03-20

• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 85% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-20

• Miami Open: Valentin Royer vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

  Eroteme AI forecast Thiago Agustin Tirante at 60% confidence. Resolved Thiago Agustin Tirante — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-20

• Warriors vs. Pistons

  Eroteme AI forecast Pistons at 68% confidence. Resolved Pistons — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-20

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-20

• Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 20?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 72% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-03-20

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-20

• Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinn

  Eroteme AI forecast Casper Ruud at 72% confidence. Resolved Ethan Quinn — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-20

• Clippers vs. Pelicans

  Eroteme AI forecast Pelicans at 60% confidence. Resolved Pelicans — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-19

• Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes

  Eroteme AI forecast Miami Hurricanes at 60% confidence. Resolved Miami Hurricanes — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-19

• Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

  Eroteme AI forecast Texas Tech Red Raiders at 70% confidence. Resolved Texas Tech Red Raiders — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-19

• Lakers vs. Heat

  Eroteme AI forecast Lakers at 62% confidence. Resolved Lakers — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-19

• Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 13m?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-19

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 68% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-19

• Will Trump visit China by May 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 60% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  politics · 2026-03-19

• Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 159.5

  Eroteme AI forecast Over at 70% confidence. Resolved Over — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-19

• Islanders vs. Senators

  Eroteme AI forecast Senators at 65% confidence. Resolved Senators — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-19

• Will Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 72% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  politics · 2026-03-19

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 20?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-19

• Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 16-22?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-19

• Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 19?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-19

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-03-19

• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

  Eroteme AI forecast Down at 95% confidence. Resolved Down — the forecast was correct.

  finance · 2026-03-19

• Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 61% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-19

• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  crypto · 2026-03-18

• Thunder vs. Nets

  Eroteme AI forecast Thunder. Resolved Thunder — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-18

• Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5

  Eroteme AI forecast Over at 68% confidence. Resolved Under — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-18

• Lakers vs. Rockets

  Eroteme AI forecast Lakers at 60% confidence. Resolved Lakers — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-18

• Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs

  Eroteme AI forecast Georgia Bulldogs at 68% confidence. Resolved Saint Louis Billikens — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-18

• Clippers vs. Pelicans

  Eroteme AI forecast Pelicans at 52% confidence. Resolved Pelicans — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-18

• South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals

  Eroteme AI forecast Louisville Cardinals at 62% confidence. Resolved Louisville Cardinals — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-18

• Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-18

• Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  culture · 2026-03-18

• Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 75% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  culture · 2026-03-18

• Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  politics · 2026-03-18

• Senators vs. Capitals

  Eroteme AI forecast Senators at 65% confidence. Resolved Capitals — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-18

• Warriors vs. Celtics

  Eroteme AI forecast Celtics at 75% confidence. Resolved Celtics — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-18

• US forces enter Iran by March 31?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 72% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  world · 2026-03-18

• Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 70% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  weather · 2026-03-18

• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 65% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  weather · 2026-03-18

• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 19?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 60% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was incorrect.

  crypto · 2026-03-18

• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?

  Eroteme AI forecast Yes at 90% confidence. Resolved Yes — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-18

• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 18?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 75% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  crypto · 2026-03-18

• Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkacz

  Eroteme AI forecast Hubert Hurkacz at 82% confidence. Resolved Ethan Quinn — the forecast was incorrect.

  sports · 2026-03-18

• Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 95% confidence. Awaiting resolution.

  politics · 2026-03-18

• Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

  Eroteme AI forecast No at 73% confidence. Resolved No — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-17

• Pacers vs. Knicks

  Eroteme AI forecast Knicks at 12% confidence. Resolved Knicks — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-17

• Suns vs. Timberwolves

  Eroteme AI forecast Timberwolves at 65% confidence. Resolved Timberwolves — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-17

• Heat vs. Hornets

  Eroteme AI forecast Hornets at 70% confidence. Resolved Hornets — the forecast was correct.

  sports · 2026-03-17