Donald Trump Truth Social Posts March 17-24, 2026 prediction

While the 80-99 post range is the plurality outcome at 45.5%, this falls below the 50% threshold needed for a YES prediction. The market shows a strong combined probability (80%) for Trump's activity to be within the broader 80-119 post range, aligning with his historical average of 80-120 posts during active weeks. However, the adjacent 100-119 post bin also holds a significant 34.5% probability, indicating the overall activity is spread across these highly probable categories. With the market closing in two days, the posting trend is largely established, and no new information suggests a shift that would push the specific 80-99 bin above 50%.