Best AI Model on November 2 prediction

Gemini 4 Argon (High) sits at number one on the arena.ai Text Arena Overall leaderboard with style control off. That reading came from Arena's published leaderboard data, a snapshot dated 22 October 2026 and read directly from the source on 25 October. It shows a score of 1526. The nearest rivals are all Claude models. Claude Opus 5.5 (High) is second on 1516, Claude Fable 5.1 (Max) third on 1513, Claude Opus 5 (Max) fourth on 1508 and Claude Opus 5 (High) fifth on 1503. Argon's lead over the runner-up is therefore ten points on that snapshot. A separate third-party tracker, updated 25 October, also lists Gemini 4 Argon (High) first, at 1,525.73. It is not the official chart, but it points the same way. Google's own post, dated 23 October, says Argon is globally available through its API and in its apps, so the model is not just a paper entry. As a sceptic, I would not treat a lead as secured. The question is decided by the rank shown at 12:00 PM ET on 2 November, a Monday, and the data I have is a week or so older than that. Arena also changed its rating method from Elo to Bradley-Terry on 13 October, according to one report, so scores can move. The thing to watch is whether any Claude model closes the ten-point gap in the next Arena update before 2 November.