Weekly earthquake count predictions
Every Eroteme AI forecast in the Weekly earthquake count series, newest first. The same question is asked every week; four AI models research each one and vote, and each forecast is marked right or wrong once it settles.
Hit rate: 73% (19 of 26 settled forecasts correct)
Open forecasts
- Earthquakes 5.5+ Worldwide November 9-15 prediction
AI: not 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above, 91%
2026-11-16
Results, newest first
- Earthquakes 5.5 or Above Worldwide November 2 - November 8 prediction
Incorrect · said 6 or fewer earthquakes, 85%
2026-11-09
- Earthquake Count 6.5 or Above October 26 - November 1 prediction
Correct · said 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above, 87%
2026-11-02
- Earthquakes 5.5 or Above October 26 - November 1 prediction
Correct · said there are more than 6, 84%
2026-11-02
- Earthquake Count 6.5 or Above October 19-25 prediction
Correct · said not 1 earthquake, 95%
2026-10-26
- 5.5 or Above Earthquake Count October 12-18 prediction
Correct · said more than 6 earthquakes, 93%
2026-10-19
- Worldwide Earthquakes 5.5 or Above October 5-11 prediction
Correct · said 13 or fewer earthquakes, 95%
2026-10-12
- Earthquakes 6.5 or Above Worldwide October 5-11 prediction
Correct · said 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above, 87%
2026-10-12
- Worldwide Earthquakes 5.5 or Above September 28 - October 4 prediction
Incorrect · said 7 earthquakes, 95%
2026-10-05
- Earthquake Count 6.5 or Above September 28 - October 4 prediction
Correct · said no earthquake of 6.5 or above, 69%
2026-10-05
- Worldwide Earthquakes 6.5 or Above, September 21-27 prediction
Correct · said there are not 2, 95%
2026-09-28
- Worldwide Earthquakes 5.5 or Above September 21-27 prediction
Correct · said 6 or fewer, 77%
2026-09-28
- 6.5 or Above Earthquakes June 15-21 prediction
Correct · said not exactly 2 earthquakes, 65%
2026-06-21
- Earthquakes 5.5 or Above June 1 - June 7 prediction
Correct · said there are more than 5, 65%
2026-06-08
- Earthquakes 5.5 or Above May 25 - May 31 prediction
Correct · said 9 or fewer, 65%
2026-05-31
- 6.5+ Earthquakes May 25-31 prediction
Correct · said exactly 1 earthquake, 61%
2026-05-31
- Earthquakes 6.5+ May 18-24 prediction
Incorrect · said exactly 0 earthquakes, 55%
2026-05-24
- Earthquakes 5.5 or Above May 18-24 prediction
Correct · said more than 9 earthquakes, 64%
2026-05-24
- Earthquakes 5.5 or Above May 11 - May 17 prediction
Correct · said 9 or fewer, 95%
2026-05-17
- Earthquake Count May 11 - May 17 prediction
Correct · said not exactly 0 earthquakes, 61%
2026-05-17
- Earthquake Count 6.5 or Above May 4-10 prediction
Incorrect · said not exactly 0, 58%
2026-05-10
- Earthquakes 5.5 or Above May 4 - May 10 prediction
Incorrect · said 9 or fewer earthquakes, 57%
2026-05-10
- 5.5 or Above Earthquake Count April 27 - May 3 prediction
Correct · said 9 or fewer earthquakes, 65%
2026-05-03
- 5.5 or Above Earthquakes April 13-19 prediction
Incorrect · said 9 or fewer earthquakes, 57%
2026-04-19
- Earthquakes 5.5 or Above April 6-12 prediction
Incorrect · said not exactly 3 earthquakes, 46%
2026-04-12
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5 prediction
Correct · said No, 55%
2026-04-05
- Earthquakes 6.5+ March 23-29 prediction
Correct · said not exactly 0 earthquakes, 58%
2026-03-29