Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, from July 21, is the newest Flash-Lite in Google's own posts

techCloses 20d

Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?

Market at forecast

Yes 47%No 53%

71% YesAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agreeAI disagrees with market

Fed's 10-2 hold at 3.75% to 4% leaves a December hike on the table

financeCloses 29d

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Market at forecast

Yes 19%No 81%

76% NoAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Iran's Oman arrangement sits inside a stalled US-Iran sequence on Hormuz

worldCloses 20d

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?

Market at forecast

Yes 14%No 86%

83% NoAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

XRP's slide to $1.0764 leaves the $1 line one weak week from a test

cryptoCloses 3d

Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on November 13?

Market at forecast

Yes 88%No 12%

92% YesAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Giants beat the Eagles 19-11 and expect McCarthy and Skattebo back for Washington

sportsCloses 2d

Commanders vs. Giants

Market at forecast

Commanders 46%Giants 54%

69% GiantsAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Ella Langley's 25 weeks atop the Hot 100 anchor her CMA Single of the Year case

cultureCloses 8d

Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Market at forecast

Yes 88%No 12%

66% YesAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agreeAI less confident than market

England beat Croatia 7-0 in October and host them at Wembley on Thursday 12 November

sportsCloses 2d

Will England win on 12 Nov?

Market at forecast

Yes 78%No 22%

72% YesAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Meta's Muse Spark 1.3, dated September 2, is the latest version in the evidence

techCloses 20d

Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?

Market at forecast

Yes 71%No 29%

84% YesAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

September's core PCE printed 0.3%, but October forecasts cluster nearer 0.2%

financeCloses 14d

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October?

Market at forecast

Yes 44%No 56%

70% NoAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Rubio sees no breakthrough with Iran as talks stall and strikes continue

worldCloses 5d

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?

Market at forecast

Yes 43%No 57%

65% NoAI forecast · 3 of 3 models agree · 1 no vote

Ether at 2,130.26 USDT on Binance leaves $2,000 about $130 below for Nov. 10 noon

cryptoCloses 48m

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 10?

Market at forecast

Yes 87%No 13%

95% YesAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Islanders carry a three-game winless run into San Jose against a Sharks side on five straight losses

sports✗ Incorrect

Islanders vs. Sharks

Market at forecast

Islanders 56%Sharks 44%

56.8% IslandersAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree · slight lean

Matthew Perry docuseries drew 9.5 million views on Netflix's English TV list, week of Oct. 26

cultureCloses 12h

Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Market at forecast

Yes 17%No 83%

75% NoAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.86% on November 6, well short of 5.21%

financeCloses 20d

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.21% in November?

Market at forecast

Yes 9%No 91%

95% NoAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Five magnitude 5.5+ quakes logged by USGS with 16 hours left in the window

scienceAwaiting result

Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Market at forecast

Yes 78%No 22%

85% YesAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Eurostat's diesel stock data stops at September, with November's figure months away

financeCloses 20d

Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026?

Market at forecast

Yes 13%No 87%

65% NoAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agreeAI less confident than market

Lufthansa curbs Tel Aviv overnight stays to November 30 while flights keep operating

worldCloses 20d

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

Market at forecast

Yes 18%No 82%

89% NoAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Dani led the GMGN qualifier at +$85,184, but seven finalists share one match

cryptoCloses 7d

Will Dani win the GMGN GGC Season 1 Grand Final?

Market at forecast

Yes 38%No 62%

80% NoAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Bengals bring a 5-2 record to Madrid with DJ Turner cleared to face Atlanta

sports✓ Correct

Bengals vs. Falcons

Market at forecast

Bengals 62%Falcons 38%

70% BengalsAI forecast · 4 of 4 models agree

Lil Baby's Fresh reached No. 1 on U.S. Apple Music on Nov. 6, but the 120k line is untested

cultureCloses 2d

Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 120k?

Market at forecast

Yes 23%No 77%

58.57% NoAI forecast · 3 of 3 models agree · 1 no vote · slight lean